Trend reversal? Investors use price setbacks for altcoin investments

After a temporary price weakness in the middle of the week, the key currency Bitcoin and with it the majority of Altcoins can recover significantly in the last few days. Ripple (XRP) comes under increasing pressure after the termination of the Spark Token Airdrop on Saturday December 12th and collapses by 18 percent compared to the week.

Last week, it looked like further consolidation in the crypto market

But the crypto key currency Bitcoin Revolution scam has been bullish again in the last few days and can rise again above 19,000 US dollars. At its peak, Bitcoin fell by around 10 percent and also had the majority of altcoins corrected. However, the bulls returned to the market in good time and once again fought off all corrective efforts by the bear camp. The largest cryptocurrency is thus only trading slightly lower than the previous week at 19,180 US dollars. The top 10 altcoins are only marginally weaker, but lose an average of three percentage points. Ripple (XRP) in particular loses in the course of the airdrop carried outyesterday, Saturday, December 12th, by 15 percentage points. A renewed attack by the BTC price on the all-time high should once again have a positive effect on the price development on the overall market in the coming trading days.

Best price development among the top 10 altcoins: Stellar (XLM)

In the previous week, the XLM price corrected significantly and fell to the supertrend at 0.140 US dollars. Based on this support, the price of Stellar rose again in the last few days of trading and was able to cross its red downtrend line at the daily closing price on Sunday, December 13th. This enabled the XLM rate to regain the EMA20 (red) at $ 0.158.

Bullish variant (Stellar)

If the price of Stellar stabilizes above $ 0.162 at the end of the day, a rise to the resistance at $ 0.189 is initially likely. An important horizontal resist runs here, which has had several price-limiting effects. If the XLM price dynamically overcomes this resistance, a march through to the 261 Fibonacci extension at $ 0.220 is conceivable. If the bulls can break through this resist and also break through the high for the year at US $ 0.229 sustainably, the price target will be activated at US $ 0.238. The superordinate 23rd Fibonacci retracement runs here. If this resist is subsequently also overcome, the 361 Fibonacci extension at US $ 0.283 comes into focus. If this resistance level can also be broken sustainably, a march towards 0 is necessary, $ 321 and $ 0.345 likely. Looking ahead, a sustained rally in Stellar prices should lead to the overarching 38 Fibonacci retracement at $ 0.370. In the medium term, the XLM rate could rise to $ 0.407 and a maximum of $ 0.476 (50s Fibonacci retracement).

Bearishe Variante (Stellar)

If, on the other hand, there is a false breakout and the XLM price falls back below the downtrend line and the EMA20 (red) at $ 0.162, the bears will try their luck again. If the development low at 0.144 US dollars is subsequently undercut, the cross-support from EMA50 (orange) and Supertrend at 0.136 US dollars comes into focus. If this support is also undercut by the daily closing price, a retest of the outbreak level at 0.119 US dollars should be planned. The EMA100 (yellow) is currently also running here. If the green support area is subsequently left downwards, this is to be assessed as a sell signal. A correction back to the EMA200 (blue) at $ 0.098 is likely. However, as long as Stellar is trading above $ 0.136,

Indicators: RSI is neutral, MACD with an active sell signal

The RSI can break down from its overbought condition and is trading in the neutral zone again. A renewed rise above 55 would activate a new buy signal. The MACD indicator, on the other hand, tends further south and has a sell signal. On a weekly basis, both indicators have still activated a buy signal, which favors the long scenario of a further increase in the XLM price.

The rise of large mining companies is inevitable

2020 marked a new era for institutional mining, giving rise to new possibilities and problems.

There are very few investments capable of combining infrastructure and venture capital. Mining, if taken to the highest level, allows arbitrage in the energy markets and simultaneously accumulate Bitcoin (BTC). This is why we are witnessing a boom in the Bitcoin mining industry and start building mega-structures. So let’s analyze some of the main elements to be taken into account for a profitable mining company.

Securing new generation hardware

At its peak performance in 2018, Bitmain was producing over 95,000 machines per week. However, since then, its production levels have dropped, also due to the ongoing legal dispute. On the other hand, MicroBT plans to deliver hundreds of thousands of devices during the year.

Western countries receive only a small proportion of these new machines, and with 17 listed mining companies and large ASIC speculators announcing purchases every week, it is easy to conclude that that limited supply of new equipment is quickly running out. Building direct relationships with manufacturers has become critical to ensuring a wide availability of new machines. But how do you ensure a stable supply of hardware? With a large chequebook, of course.

Reduce capital expenditure

Economies of scale are at odds with decentralisation. Yet, like most other economic sectors, mining rewards large dimensions. More structured mining companies have access to discounts on ASIC retail prices. With an average depreciation period of around 300 days for new generation equipment, the discount can be reduced by more than one month. In addition, large miners pay less down payments, in some cases around 20%, compared to over 50% for retail sales. This allows miners to buy more equipment and build larger structures faster.

From an infrastructure point of view, in most cases the construction of a 30 megawatt mining farm is much cheaper per MW than a 3 MW plant.

Maximising operating profits

If you want low-cost energy, you will need to invest considerable capital for expenses such as the purchase of land, generators and equipment, the construction of large infrastructure, the financing of performance bonds, etc.. Although small miners take advantage of low-cost energy sources, the most profitable companies are the largest: they have the capital needed to secure the best positions and, as we know, the cost of electricity is one of the determining factors for success.

Beyond the supply of cheap electricity, large miners can negotiate lower fees for pools, firmware development and ASIC management software. They can also reduce the amount of manpower required per MW, increase the efficiency of their management and improve the effectiveness of their energy use.

Access to higher financing mechanisms

Mining is a capital-intensive activity as it requires constant equipment upgrades and new purchases. The construction of a 10 MW mining farm with new generation equipment can cost almost $10 million, depending on the purchase price.

Access to various forms of financing is therefore essential to ensure that the facilities remain large and enjoy the benefits discussed above.

From 2018 to 2019, most of these mining operations were financed through a mix of debt and equity. In 2020 we saw a boom in ASIC funding. Large mining companies are now able to raise funds from lenders using their ASIC machines as collateral. The number of these lenders is still limited, so they give priority to the best low-risk operators.

Manufacturers have also changed

Most of the first questions that are asked when the mining opportunity arises relate to the equipment: „Where does the equipment come from? Who is the manufacturer? Is there a guarantee? What is the price? Why does the price change every day? When are the machines shipped?

Manufacturers like Bitmain have been pioneers in the crypto investor review since this industry was a real Wild West. In 2016 the race began to bring as many machines as possible onto the market. Things like company policies, shipping and pricing details, warranties, repair centres and transparency were almost completely ignored.

When big business entered the industry, everything changed, from the mentality of manufacturers downwards. Now mining equipment manufacturers make weekly phone calls to key customers, discussing production visibility and offering greater transparency in operations. In addition, most manufacturers now offer machine warranties, have opened repair centres and try to be more transparent about shipments and prices, although overall the industry still has a long way to go.

This trend towards professionalisation of the sector is likely to continue in the West.

Mining pools offer greater transparency

Another question that a large company could ask itself is: „Where will the money come from?“.

Usually, the answer is: from a mining pool, because they buy hash installments. So it is legitimate to ask who this counterparty is and what risks are associated with managing them.

Pools have historically been a problematic element in the mining value chain. Large companies have helped to increase the price transparency of mining pools, reduced the number of pools they steal from miners, and encouraged them to develop a new set of features. The mining pool industry is evolving rapidly and if companies do not keep pace, they will lag behind. All these trends will benefit large companies who want to deal with serious and compliant counterparts.

Consolidating the industry

A wave of consolidation is probably on the horizon in the mining sector: there are hundreds of large companies and teams fighting for space, ready to be acquired.

The main consolidation will take place at farm level. These mergers and acquisitions will most likely take place at the project level rather than at the company level, similar to what happens in the real estate industry.

Financial services companies will also be natural buyers, as they will seek to build an ecosystem that embraces both the mining and financial value chain.

Financing the hash rate

With each traditional commodity, companies have the ability to leverage financial instruments to hedge their cash flows through futures and options, sell part of their production in purchase or forward contracts, and more.

To date, there are very few financial instruments based on the hash rate. The entry of large companies will change this situation, as they are creating demand for this type of product. The need for miners must be met by other players, such as traders, to create liquid and solid markets.

Five-year prospects for mining

If you had told the miners in 2015 where we are today, they probably wouldn’t have believed you: millions of ASICs securing the grid, gigawatts of energy used and companies like Fidelity opening their own mining company.

It’s hard to predict how the industry will evolve over the next five years, but I believe that large institutions will continue to drive innovation in the industry, creating a safer network for Bitcoin. But this will also lead to new challenges such as protocol censorship, more Know Your Customer/Anti-Money Laundering procedures, less decentralisation and so on. Mining companies will have to work closely with these new players to create a better future for BTC.

Van Eck: Bitcoin is „less volatile than many“ stocks

Van Eck’s latest investigation appears to be an effort to quell investor fears about Bitcoin … as well as those of the SEC.

On Friday, investment management firm Van Eck released new research indicating that Bitcoin’s price movements are less volatile than between a quarter and a third of stocks listed on the S&P 500.

BlackRock CIO Says: ‚Bitcoin Will Take The Place Of Gold To A Large Part‘

In a blog post, the German issuer of publicly traded products said that while Crypto Wealth has long been considered a „nascent and volatile asset outside of traditional equity and capital markets,“ reality shows that the largest cryptocurrency The world is traded with volatility comparable to that of some of the world’s largest companies.

So far this year, 29% of stocks in the S&P 500 experienced more volatile price swings than the digital currency, while 22% did the same over a 90-day period, Van Eck said.

Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone Believes Bitcoin Could Hit $ 170,000 In Next Two Years

The research is remarkable, given that Van Eck’s top offerings are largely expressed in an asset class long considered a competitor to Bitcoin: gold.

Of the nearly $ 50 billion in assets managed by Van Eck, most are related to gold funds, and the company founded both the first gold stock fund in 1968 (INIVX) and the first gold miners ETF, now wildly popular, in 2006 (GDX).

With the share price topping that of Bitcoin, Riot Blockchain appointed its new director

Yet despite his emphasis on gold bullion, Van Eck was never fearful in exploring Bitcoin. The company is currently offering a publicly traded Bitcoin product to institutional investors, and previously submitted requests to the SEC to offer a Bitcoin ETF.

The company also recently issued a report in which it claims that institutional investors should consider having Bitcoin on their ledgers.

The Long Arm of Justice: How Far Can the Justice Department Really Go to Prosecute Foreign Actors?

Perhaps, given the regulatory hurdles Van Eck encountered during his latest project for a Bitcoin ETF, this latest investigation could be aimed more at allaying SEC fears than at investors, who to date have demonstrated a remarkable appetite for securities. backed by BTC.

El analista del banco pone la predicción de precios de Bitcoin „tan alta como $318.000“

En resumen…

  • Un alto ejecutivo de Citi predice que Bitcoin puede alcanzar la marca de seis cifras en 2021.
  • La subida de Bitcoin ha sido similar a la del oro en la década de 1970, dijo el ejecutivo.
  • El aumento de las monedas digitales respaldadas por el estado también muestra un régimen cambiante, uno que apoya el crecimiento de Bitcoin, añadió.

Tom Fitzpatrick, director general de Citi, ha predicho que el precio de Bitcoin puede llegar a más de 318.000 dólares en 2021 según una nota a clientes institucionales de la semana pasada. Llamó al movimiento en medio de un incierto entorno macro y sus similitudes con el mercado de oro de los 70.

Aunque los fanáticos del crypto trader lo han llamado „oro digital“, Bitcoin ha sido hasta ahora un pobre almacén de valor (debido a sus infames oscilaciones de precios) o medio de transferencia y ha surgido como un vehículo de comercio en su lugar. Sin embargo, según Fitzpatrick, tal telón de fondo es exactamente lo que ceba el activo como uno que sostendría una eventual „tendencia a largo plazo“.

Mediante el análisis técnico -previsión de los precios futuros de los activos utilizando ejemplos pasados, similitudes y datos- Fitzpatrick publicó la predicción de seis cifras de Bitcoin si seguía una trayectoria similar de los últimos siete años.

„Se observa que la acción de los precios es mucho más simétrica, más o menos, durante los últimos siete años, formando lo que parece un canal muy bien definido que nos da un movimiento ascendente de tiempo similar al último repunte (en 2017)“, dijo, como se muestra en la imagen de abajo.

Un ejecutivo de Citibank tiene como objetivo un precio de 318.000 dólares para Bitcoin. Imagen: Citi

Pero el precio objetivo de 318.000 dólares no se basa sólo en el dibujo de líneas en un gráfico.

Fitzpatrick llamó a Bitcoin el „nuevo oro“ y dijo que el tambaleante clima macroeconómico de hoy en día está creando espacio para una nueva estructura financiera, similar al telón de fondo de la creación de Bitcoin en 2008, una de las mayores recesiones de la historia.

Un entorno monetario cambiante

El ejecutivo del Citibank dijo que la política monetaria en los Estados Unidos ha sido históricamente moldeada por dos factores: la afinidad de la Reserva Federal con la impresión de dinero (para proteger su economía) y la eventual menor valoración de su moneda fiduciaria (llamada „debasing“). Esto fue lo último desde los años 70, cuando tuvo lugar la Gran Depresión, antes de este año.

Esto, en opinión de Fitzpatrick, crea tanto una demanda renovada de oro como su contraparte digital, Bitcoin.

„Es un activo con una oferta limitada. Se mueve a través de las fronteras y su propiedad es opaca“, dijo.

Fitzpatrick añadió que aunque Bitcoin puede estar sujeto a más restricciones regulatorias en el futuro, era una „reserva natural de dinero“ para evitar exactamente ese problema. Mientras tanto, el aumento de las monedas digitales respaldadas por el estado, como el Yuan digital de China, era otra indicación de un régimen financiero cambiante que podría, a su vez, apoyar el aumento de Bitcoin, señaló.

Mientras tanto, los círculos criptográficos de Twitter expresaron su entusiasmo por el precio objetivo, uno que valoraría la red de Bitcoin en una cifra masiva de 5,8 billones de dólares (por encima de los 300.000 millones de dólares actuales) con su oferta actual en circulación.

Cerealia launches blockchain platform for trade in the agri-food sector

Will blockchain technology simplify and make the global wheat market more efficient?

After two years of testing, the Swiss company Cerealia SA has launched a blockchain platform for global agricultural trade.

The launch follows an extensive test phase, conducted with companies from Algeria, Brazil, Dubai, Japan and Ukraine. In November 2018, Cointelegraph reported that the platform had been used to make a pilot purchase of Black Sea wheat from the Russian port city of Novorossiysk.

Cerealia told journalists that its intention was to respond to the need for a fast trading platform in the global Russian wheat market, and to combine it with a more reliable, transparent and technologically sophisticated transaction execution program.

CEO Andrei Grigorov said:

„Traders can now be 100% sure that they have actually finalised their purchase, compared to the uncertainty of traditional brokerage over the phone. Contracts and registers are signed digitally, in an instant, and will remain on blockchain ‚forever'“.
Russia is one of the world’s leading producers of wheat, and maize, barley, other cereals and vegetable oil are also widely grown in the country. According to Cerealia, the volume of wheat transactions in the launch week almost reached 20,000 tons.

During the autumn, some of the world’s leading agrifood companies launched a joint venture that will use blockchain technology to optimise logistics processes in the agricultural sector in Brazil. The business partners involved handle a total of around 550 million tonnes of cereals and oilseeds per year.

Bitcoin’s Sudden Decline: Hva forårsaket det og er det bekymring?

Bitcoin-prisen syntes å være klar til å komme tilbake til en mulig ny all-time-high før den krasjet ned. Prisen på kryptovalutaen steg nylig til så høyt som $ 15 840 før den falt under $ 15 000 til $ 14 800. Etter å ha falt over 6% på mindre enn en dags handel etter å ha innløst en daglig høyde, ble kryptovalutaen sannsynligvis påvirket av flere faktorer som påvirket markedet.

Hva forårsaket Bitcoins plutselige tilbakegang?
Flere punkter kommer raskt i forkant og ser på Bitcoins raske nedgang i handelsprisen:

Gjenopprettingen av den amerikanske dollaren etter Joe Bidens seier over den nåværende amerikanske presidenten Donald Trump i USAs valg.
Nedgangen i gullprisene.
Kunngjøringen av vellykkede COVID-19 vaksineprøver, og
Bitcoinhval selger.

Verdiøkningen i dollar som førte til at Bitcoin falt
Ettersom de to har et omvendt forhold, fører utvinningen av den amerikanske dollaren historisk til at investorer samler pengene tilbake til fiat-støttede eiendeler. Selv om det kan være for tidlig å komme med forslag til den amerikanske dollarens langsiktige helse, betyr en utvinning at det er færre investorer som ønsker å sikre seg mot valutaen. Som et resultat legger færre investorer til sine cryptocurrency-beholdninger som en del av en diversifisering av porteføljene.

Vellykket vaksine: Gullfall, knyttet til Bitcoin-pris

Som rapportert av Associated Press kunngjorde farmasøytisk selskap Pfizer positive nyheter angående den tredje fasen av vaksineforsøket. I følge Pfizer viser den nåværende vaksineprøven seg 90% effektiv for å forhindre COVID-19. Etter å ha testet på 44 000 deltakere, ville de positive nyhetene om full suksess i en testet vaksine bli fulgt av den offisielle amerikanske Food and Drug Administration for å teste selve forsøket før vaksinen kan gå til masseproduksjon og påfølgende distribusjon.

De gode nyhetene for verden og stoppet for spredningen av Coronavirus ser ut til å ha resultert i dårlige nyheter for kryptovalutamarkedet. Etter kunngjøringen steg Dow Jones Industrial Average med over 1000 poeng som samlet det amerikanske aksjemarkedet.

Koblet til sikringsmidler, så både gull og Bitcoin et sjokk på markedet som tok en rask nedgang. Amsterdam-børsens næringsdrivende Michaël van de Poppe forklarte at prisen på amerikanske dollar påvirker prisen på Bitcoin ettersom de er priset mot den nasjonale valutaen. Dermed, hvis den amerikanske dollaren ser en gjenoppretting, ser prisen på de alternative eiendelene også en prisfall.

Skal hval senke Bitcoin-skipet?
Da symbolet begynte å avta raskt, ble det funnet at Bitcoin Whales – eller store investorer – solgte Bitcoin. I følge kjedeanalytikervirksomheten CryptoQuant og andre handelsmenn som kjenner i bransjen, syntes mønsteret å indikere sterkt at Bitcoins raske prisfall ble fremmet av hval som solgte seg. Tidspunktet for de store investorene for å selge ville være i beste tid i markedet, gitt motstandsnivået som Bitcoin prøvde å bryte, samt faktorer som truet en bearish tilbaketrekning.

Til tross for at hval selger, virker andre handelsmenn og langsiktige investorer ikke bekymret for markedets tilstand. Cryptocurrency trader og Bitcoin bull Cantering Clark foreslo at dette utsalget bare er „raske penger“ investorer som velger å tjene raskt:

Po Kanye West i PewDiePie renomowany Rapper Logic popiera Bitcoina

Bitcoin zyskał ostatnio dużo uwagi po masowym rajdzie, który zepchnął go ponad 15.000 dolarów i zszokował wielu. Atut został zauważony przez wiele międzynarodowych sław i wygląda na to, że słynny raper Sir Robert Bryson Hall II, popularnie znany jako Logic, jest najnowszym potwierdzeniem Bitcoin, z ogłoszeniem nadchodzącym zaraz po tym, jak Bitcoin zrobił ogromny ruch i był trendy na Twitterze.

Z tweetem 7 listopada, emerytowany raper i twórca treści, którego rekordy wielokrotnie przewyższały wykresy, zauważył, że jego menedżer Chris Zarou przekonał go do zakupu Bitcoina.

Podczas gdy szczegóły dotyczące inwestycji nie zostały ujawnione, Logic wspomniał w swoim tweecie, że była to „duża inwestycja w #bitcoin“.

Logika ma ponad 2,3 mln zwolenników na Twitterze, a społeczność wydawała się podekscytowana wejściem rapera w świat krypto walut. Z drugiej strony, niektórzy obawiali się o jego czas wejścia z powodu 1500 dolarów przenieść dzień wcześniej i stromy korekta może zmienić zdanie rapera.

Jednak jest to dość mało prawdopodobne, ponieważ menedżer Logic Zarou wydaje się być zwolennikiem Bitcoin, ponieważ miał tweeted kilka dni wcześniej, że jest „nieodpowiedzialnie długo“ na Bitcoin.

Termin nieodpowiedzialnie długo został sformułowany przez menedżera funduszu hedgingowego i byka Bitcoin Raoul Pal, który wierzy, że Bitcoin może trafić 1.000.000 dolarów w tym cyklu rynkowym w wyniku zainteresowania instytucjonalnego.

Logika nie jest jedynym artystą, który stawia na Bitcoina, ponieważ jest on wspierany przez zdobywcę Grammy i kandydata na prezydenta Kanye Westa, który wszedł na żywo na popularnym Joe Rogan Podcast w zeszłym miesiącu i chwalił Bitcoin.

W międzyczasie PewDiePie na YouTube zaprezentował w tym miesiącu swoim 107 milionom subskrybentów nieczytelne żetony (NFT) i krypto-waluty, ponieważ promował grę w stylu Pokemon o nazwie Wallem, w której sprzedaje również swoją skórkę PewDiePie jako NFT.

Rajd Bitcoinów, który nie jest napędzany przez inwestorów detalicznych

Pomimo tego, że wiele gwiazd popiera krypto-waluty takie jak Bitcoin, dane z Google Trends ujawniają, że zainteresowanie terminem „Bitcoin“ i innymi związanymi z nim wyszukiwaniami było wciąż na niskim poziomie od wielu lat.

Może to być wskazówka, że obecny rajd jest napędzany przez graczy instytucjonalnych takich jak Grayscale i innych zarządzających funduszami w oparciu o liczby podane przez te instytucje.

Dzięki uprzejmości firmy Bitcoin, dostawcy mobilnych usług płatniczych Square’s Cash App, również odnotowali znaczny skok przychodów w trzecim kwartale. W oparciu o raport finansowy dla amerykańskiej Komisji Papierów Wartościowych i Giełd, Bitcoin stał się największym źródłem przychodów dla aplikacji Cash App.

Wszystkie rozważane rzeczy, Logika i inne gwiazdy wchodzące na rynek Bitcoin jest nadal dobrą wiadomością dla całej branży, jeśli chodzi o popularyzację tej dość nowej klasy aktywów.

Crypto (2019) Filmanmeldelse: Kurt Russell slutter sig til Bitcoin Bros

Kurt Russell spiller (knap) i denne by-the-numbers B-film – men det er stadig en af ​​de få film derude, der tackler Bitcoin som et emne.

Kurt Russell, Beau Knapp, Luke Hemsworth og Alexis Bledel spiller i dette kryptokriminalitetsdrama.

Jeremie Harris stjæler showet (for kryptofans) som en Bitcoin Bro.

Crypto findes næppe i filmen og er ikke afbildet nøjagtigt, når den gør det

Crypto er en indiefilm med KURT RUSSELL i hovedrollen. Det handler om hvidvaskning af penge og nævner Bitcoin en masse. Det har også KURT RUSSELL. Plakaten vil være meget klar, du får det.

Kryptoboblen toppede i 2017, men film tager tid at kæmpe sig ud af helvede. Cryptos originale manuskript blev skrevet i 2017 og sendt til instruktøren, John Stalberg Jr., i begyndelsen af ​​2018. Stalberg ordnede produktionsaftalerne i midten af ​​2018, og filmen blev endelig frigivet til video-on-demand, og “ udvalgte teatre, „i USA i april 2019.

Du skal arbejde hurtigere end for god kryptosploitation; dette er et rum, hvor Defi mad mønter stiger , falder og stiger igen i blotte dage.

Vores helt (som ikke er KURT RUSSELL) er en bankoverholdelsesofficer. Han hedder Marty, og han spilles af Beau Knapp, men skuespiller og endda karakternavne betyder ikke rigtig noget her – alle er en generisk type.

Marty kæmper for den gode kamp mod hvidvaskning af penge. Han er funktionelt en politimand, der laver en humorløs og asocial version af Columbo. Han bliver forvist til sin hjemby i upstate New York for at være for god til sit job på Wall Street og svømmer ind i byen for at gøre alle elendige i forfølgelsen af ​​retfærdighed.

„Jeg får lugt af mild sammensværgelse fra dig. Måske har du hængt sammen med din Bitcoin-ven for meget.“

—Faktisk dialog fra Crypto (2019)

Ting starter med, at KURT RUSSELL bliver overdraget til Marty af kidnappere. KURT dukker ikke op igen i endnu en time. Undskyld, fans.

Liam Hemsworth i Crypto (2019). Billede: Lionsgate Filmens logotype er „CЯYPTO“ med en bagudgående R. Dette er for tidligt at telegrafere, at de onde er … Russkies! Revisoren kører brænderens telefonnumre ved at bytte SIM’er i hånden – som om enhver telefon ikke også sender sin IMEI – og du kan fortælle, at han er en dårlig fyr ved at telefongrænsefladen kommer op på … russisk!

Le recul de la part de marché de BitMEX aurait pu épargner aux bitcoiners une vente plus importante

Il y a quatre ans, lorsque le BitMEX, bourse de cryptocrédit basée aux Seychelles, a annoncé un nouveau produit appelé „perpétuel échange de bitcoins à effet de levier“, peu de négociants sur les marchés naissants des actifs numériques auraient pu anticiper l’impact majeur que ce déploiement obscur aurait sur le secteur.

Mais cet instrument, qui permettait aux clients de négocier facilement l’équivalent de 100 dollars de Bitcoin Code pour chaque dollar de baisse, s’est avéré extrêmement populaire et fructueux pour les traders avides de risques, propulsant BitMEX au premier rang des plus grandes bourses de cryptocrédit au monde.

Aujourd’hui, les analystes et les investisseurs en actifs numériques s’efforcent d’évaluer les dommages causés au marché après que les autorités américaines ont porté jeudi une série d’accusations réglementaires et pénales contre BitMEX et son PDG, Arthur Hayes.

Un changement pourrait être une moindre volatilité du marché, car les swaps perpétuels de BitMEX sont tristement célèbres pour exacerber les fluctuations de prix : Les traders de bitcoin savent bien que chaque fois que le marché penche d’une manière ou d’une autre, les positions peu capitalisées des clients du BitMEX sont liquidées par une série d’appels de marge rapides, ce qui exacerbe les fluctuations de prix qui se répercutent sur les autres bourses.

„À long terme, c’est tellement mieux pour le marché au comptant“, a déclaré Steve Ehrlich, PDG de Voyager Digital, une plate-forme de négociation de devises cryptocompatible en ligne.

Une question lancinante qui se pose à l’avenir est de savoir si certains clients de BitMEX aux États-Unis – apparemment en violation des lois et règlements du pays – seront contraints de fermer leurs comptes et éventuellement de vendre leurs bitcoins. Cela pourrait exercer une pression à la baisse sur les prix.

Le bitcoin a chuté de 4 % après que les accusations ont été dévoilées jeudi, mais quelques heures plus tard, les prix avaient épargné une partie de leurs pertes et changeaient de mains autour de 10 580 $, restant dans une fourchette où ils ont été négociés pendant plusieurs semaines.

Les responsables de BitMEX ont déclaré dans une déclaration qu’ils „ne sont pas du tout d’accord“ avec les accusations et ont l’intention de se défendre vigoureusement contre elles. Dans un canal du Telegram, la société a déclaré que sa plateforme de négociation fonctionnait normalement et que tous les fonds étaient en sécurité.

Concurrents dans le jeu de l’effet de levier

Ces dernières années, de nombreuses autres bourses cryptocurrentielles ont copié le modèle de BitMEX, en déployant des instruments de négociation de bitcoin avec un effet de levier 100 fois supérieur ou plus. Et certains traders se sont tournés vers ces autres lieux de négociation, ce qui a fait reculer la part de BitMEX sur le marché global des dérivés du bitcoin.

Cela pourrait réduire l’impact sur le marché de toute défection supplémentaire de clients à la suite des accusations de jeudi, a déclaré John Todaro, directeur de la recherche institutionnelle de la société d’analyse cryptographique TradeBlock.

„Il y a deux ans, cela aurait été catastrophique, parce que BitMEX représentait un pourcentage énorme de tous ceux qui jouent au trading à effet de levier“, a déclaré David Weisberger, co-fondateur et PDG de CoinRoutes Inc. dans un entretien téléphonique. „Maintenant, il existe un certain nombre d’alternatives au BitMEX et plusieurs d’entre elles ont toujours été plus strictes quant à la négociation ou au fait de ne pas autoriser les clients américains à négocier sur ces plateformes“.

Un instantané de la négociation des contrats à terme sur bitcoin jeudi a classé BitMEX quatrième parmi les bourses sur les volumes de 24 heures, derrière Binance, Huobi et OKEX, selon le site de données Skew. Les intérêts ouverts, ou la valeur des contrats en cours, s’élevaient à 680 millions de dollars, derrière OKEx.

A venir pour un moment maintenant

Les traders savaient que BitMEX était sous surveillance et qu’il aurait pu prendre de l’avance sur toute mesure de répression, selon la société d’actifs numériques QCP Capital.

„Cela fait un moment que cela arrive, et bien que les charges soient lourdes et coordonnées, il reste à voir quelle est sa portée réelle“, a déclaré la société sur sa chaîne Telegram.

D’après le décompte de QCP, BitMEX a environ 190 000 bitcoins dans ses coffres, pour une valeur d’environ 2 milliards de dollars aux prix actuels, avec 36 000 bitcoins supplémentaires dans un fonds d’assurance.

Il est possible que l’exemple de BitMEX donne un coup de pouce aux bourses étrangères de cryptocommunication qui pourraient faire des économies sur la conformité, tout en apportant une clarté réglementaire aux bourses qui tentent de courtiser les clients américains.

Les bourses de marchandises réglementées aux États-Unis offrent également un effet de levier, mais le contrat à terme bitcoin le plus courant, celui de la CME basée à Chicago, n’autorise que des positions avec une mise de fonds initiale trois fois plus élevée.

„Cela donne clairement le ton aux autres bourses qui concurrencent Bitmex – et il y en a de plus en plus chaque jour – que vous ne pouvez pas faire cela avec les clients américains“, a déclaré M. Ehrlich de Voyager. „Si je me trouvais sur l’un de ces marchés concurrents, je consulterais immédiatement mon fichier clients“.

L’un des défendeurs impliqués dans l’affaire BitMEX est allé jusqu’à „se vanter“ que „soudoyer“ les régulateurs d’une juridiction en dehors des États-Unis ne coûte qu’une „noix de coco“, selon une déclaration du directeur adjoint du FBI William Sweeney Jr. Le Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) interdit aux Américains de soudoyer les fonctionnaires étrangers.

Il se peut que ce soit tout simplement trop effronté pour que les autorités de régulation ne s’en aperçoivent pas.

„Une chose que je sais avec les régulateurs, c’est que si vous dites des choses qui sont antagonistes dans des lieux d’informations découvertes, vous avez beaucoup plus de chances d’être puni que les personnes qui font quelque chose de très similaire mais qui gardent le nez propre, ne disent rien et agissent avec respect“, a déclaré M. Weisberger.

Europol: Criminal Activity vertegenwoordigt 1,1% van het Bitcoin-gebruik

Een rapport van Europol heeft onthuld dat slechts 1,1% van het gebruik van Bitcoin verband houdt met criminele activiteiten, een vermindering van 94,5% ten opzichte van 2013. Deze enorme verschuiving is te wijten aan de opkomst van de Bitcoin Circuit handel in de jaren daarna, maar het is niet allemaal goed nieuws – het rapport stelt ook dat privacymunten, portefeuilles en andere gerelateerde technologie een „grootste bedreiging“ vormen voor wetshandhavingsinstanties in Europa en dat cybercriminelen slimmer worden in de manier waarop ze met illegaal verkregen cryptocurrency omgaan .

Europol – Cybercriminelen worden slimmer

In het nieuwe rapport over georganiseerde misdaad op internet, genaamd de Internet Organized Crime Threat Assessment (IOCTA) 2020, stelt Europol dat cryptocurrencies „betalingen voor verschillende vormen van cybercriminaliteit blijven faciliteren“, waarbij ransomware de belangrijkste methode is en dat daders van dergelijke misdrijven hebben hun praktijken ontwikkeld om op privacy gerichte munten en diensten te gebruiken om autoriteiten te omzeilen.

Deze „privacy-verbeterde coinjoin-concepten“, zoals Wasabi en Samurai, worden steeds populairder bij illegale gebruikers van cryptocurrency, ondanks dat Chainalysis beweert transacties in en uit sommige van deze mixdiensten te kunnen volgen. Europol merkt op dat cryptocurrencies de „standaardbetaalmethode zijn geworden voor … ransomware en andere afpersingsregelingen“ vanwege hun „betrouwbaarheid, onomkeerbaarheid van transacties en een waargenomen mate van anonimiteit“.

Autoriteiten over de hele wereld hebben de afgelopen maanden geprobeerd dit fenomeen aan te pakken door blockchain-analysebedrijven in te huren om hen te helpen bij het volgen van fondsen die zijn verzonden met behulp van privacyverbeterende technologie.

Legaal gebruik van Bitcoin Dwergen Illegaal gebruik

Het Europol-rapport was echter niet helemaal slecht nieuws voor cryptocurrency, omdat ze onthulden dat legitiem gebruik van cryptocurrencies veel sneller is gegroeid dan illegaal gebruik:

In 2019 was de overgrote meerderheid van bitcoin-transacties gekoppeld aan investeringen en
handelsactiviteiten, dus ondanks aanzienlijk misbruik komt criminele activiteit overeen met slechts 1,1% van de totale transacties.

Volgens Europol’s eigen cijfers betekent dit een daling van 94,5% ten opzichte van 2013, toen sites zoals Silk Road de belangrijkste use case waren voor cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin-handel is zo populair dat het illegaal gebruik in de schaduw stelt, iets waar voorstanders erg blij mee zullen zijn, gezien de aanhoudende negatieve perceptie van Bitcoin in de rest van de wereld.